There are moments in history which sharply expose the difference between political rhetoric and reality. For the Soviet Union it was the fall of the Berlin Wall, for the Americans the fall of Kabul. The 1956 Suez Crisis is regarded as a watershed moment for the UK, marking the end of empire and imperial hegemony. ‘Suez’ has become a byword for failure in British political discourse and a reminder of our reliance on American hard power. However recent events may have exposed an even deeper rift.
The US and Israeli bombing campaign against Iran has dominated global headlines, created unprecedented regional instability and unwanted market volatility. Although the UK is not directly involved, the crisis has exposed Britain’s inability to defend its bases and allies across the region – caused by decades of underinvestment in our armed forces and industrial base. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s initial refusal to allow US aircraft to use British bases for strikes against Iran reportedly angered Donald Trump and raised questions about the durability of the “Special Relationship”.
Despite government promises to increase defence spending, rhetoric is once again outpacing reality. Investment into UK defence firms is falling rapidly, even as warnings grow that Britain risks losing influence within NATO. Today the Beauhurst Insights team examines what is happening across the UK’s defence innovation ecosystem and what it means for our security in the years ahead.
How decades of underinvestment shaped UK defence
First, the context. Funding gaps are nothing new in defence. UK defence spending fell from roughly 7% of GDP in the 1950s to around 2% by the early 2020s as governments sought to capitalise on the post-Cold War ‘peace dividend’. Over time this reshaped the industrial base: subsidies declined, supply chains consolidated and private capital became more hesitant to back defence innovation – reinforced by ESG constraints and long procurement cycles.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine marked a turning point. Defence returned to the political agenda, with the UK committing to increase spending over the coming decade. Yet rebuilding capability takes longer than announcing budgets. Years of underinvestment have left structural gaps across production, supply chains and crucial innovation pipelines.
Parliamentary scrutiny has highlighted the scale of the challenge. Some assessments suggest the British Army could run out of munitions within days of a high-intensity conflict, while only two of the Ministry of Defence’s 49 major defence projects are currently running on time and within budget. The shift in rhetoric is clear. The question is whether investment and delivery are keeping pace.
Why defence tech investment is falling as spending rises
Against this backdrop, commitments from the Prime Minister to increase defence spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 are certainly welcome. Yet research conducted by the Beauhurst Insights team suggests they do not fully address the underlying constraint: bottlenecked capital for innovative defence firms. Spending may be rising at the top of the system, but the flow of funding into the companies responsible for future capability remains limited – namely within defence tech.
Earlier this year we published research alongside defence-VC MD One, which found that while defence spending has steadily risen since the war in Ukraine, equity investment into UK defence tech companies has fallen. As shown in Figure 1, there was a spike in investment in immediate response to the war followed by a clear drop in both the total amount raised and number of deals. For context, UK defence tech firms raised £313m through 69 deals in 2022. This figure had dropped to only £91m through 41 deals in 2025.







